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Home Buying in Canada Expected to Increase

Posted On: 2009-03-05

OTTAWA — In spite of the economic downturn, most Canadians still believe it is a homebuyer’s market, with more first timers planning on purchasing their own homes, according to a study released Wednesday by the Royal Bank of Canada.

“The current economic environment does not appear to have dampened Canadians’ overall confidence in the housing market,” said Royal Bank spokeswoman Karen Leggett. “Canadians continue to have an overwhelming belief in the long-term value of a home and we’re seeing this in the buying intentions of many first time homebuyers this year."

In its 16th annual RBC home ownership survey, 65 per cent of Canadians said they agree it’s a buyer’s market, with 27 per cent saying they intend to buy a new home over the next two years.

RBC said that’s up from 23 per cent in 2008.

The survey, conducted by Ipsos Reid, shows that almost half of respondents, 48 per cent, said it makes sense to buy a home now instead of waiting until next year.

Younger Canadians, those under 35 years old, are most likely to spark an upsurge in homes sales, with 48 per cent saying they plan to buy a home. That’s up sharply from 36 per cent last year.

And renters appear to be saying they’re tired of paying someone else’s mortgage.

The survey shows 38 per cent of the renters plan on becoming homeowners in the next two years.

“Low mortgage rates and favourable housing prices are influencing home purchase intentions this year and may be the reason why more Canadians are poised to purchase over the next two years,” RBC said.

A large majority of Canadians, 83 per cent, remain positive that home ownership is a good investment. While that is down slightly from 85 per cent in 2008 and from the all-time high of 90 per cent in 2006.

In a marked change from last year, 54 per cent of Canadians said they believe housing prices will be lower in 2009, up from 31 per cent in 2008.

The survey found that home-buying intentions in British Columbia remain unchanged from last year, with 26 per cent of residents saying they intend to buy in the next two years. A majority, 55 per cent think it makes more sense to wait until next year to purchase a home.

In Quebec, 22 per cent of respondents said they are likely to purchase a home within the next two years, up from 21 per cent in 2008 and 19 per cent in 2007.

In Ontario, home-buying intentions have increased over last year, with 30 per cent saying they are likely to purchase a home within the next two years. That’s up from 21 per cent in 2008.

Likewise in Alberta, where the survey found 35 per cent of Albertans were likely to purchase a home within the next two years, well above the national average of 27 per cent and up from 29 per cent in 2008.

RBC is also predicting increased home-buying activity in Atlantic Canada, where 25 per cent indicated they were likely to purchase a home within the next two years, up from 20 per cent in 2008 and 24 per cent in 2007.

In Manitoba and Saskatchewan, 25 per cent of those responding to the survey said they intend to buy a home in the next two years, compared with 21 per cent in 2008. However, a majority, 60 per cent, think it makes more sense to wait until next year to buy.

The online survey of 2,026 adults was conducted between Jan. 6 and 9, 2009. Ipsos Reid said the results are accurate to within plus or minus 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

© Copyright (c) Canwest News Service

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